The net value of the assets of this closed fund continues to diminish, which makes its distribution look more and more incomplete.
Whirlpool faces significant short -term pressure, and shortening of the dividend would help.
The free UPS cash flow may not cover its dividend in 2025 and has more efficient applications for its cash flow, such as investing in its growth initiatives.
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With the corresponding dividend or yield of 14.7%, 8.3%and 6.6%, these three investments can provide the investor with a total yield of 9.9%if purchased together. However, I think the closed end Guggenheim Strategic Possibilities Fund(Nyse: gof)The company for home appliances Whirlpool(Nyse: whr)and UPS(Nyse: UPS) are likely to reduce their dividends or investor distributions. In addition, in two cases, this would make them stronger companies. That is why.
This is a closed -type fund, which means that it does not raise new investor capital; But it can use a debt to generate returns for them. It trades in the market as shares and makes monthly distributions (rather as dividends). The fund has a superb record for investor distribution, keeping them for more than a decade.
But here’s the fund’s net investment income has not covered its distribution in the last seven years, and in the previous six years the fund has used its capital to make distribution. This is to the detriment of its net asset value (NAV), which has declined every year since 2018 and now amounts to $ 11.50.
Meanwhile, the Fund has effectively increased its leather to increase its investment income. This is not a sustainable road, but the market still values it by 28.5% premium to its NAV. Go figure.
The home appliances company are one of the most interesting stocks on the market. The management believes that this will take advantage of Trump’s tariffs and the administration’s approach to the protection of American production interests, not least by closing a door that allows Asian competitors to use Chinese steel in their products and thus avoid rates on it.
This can be so and this is good news for Whirlpool and its competitive positioning. However, the company must navigate the current weakness of the home market, which is unlikely to improve until the mortgage rates decrease from their relatively high level. High prices discourage sales of homes that harmed the discretionary sales of higher margin appliances that Whirlpool needs to increase their profits.
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30-year mortgage data from YCharts.
And the recent relief of trade conflict can encourage competitors to increase US imports, as they did in the fourth quarter of 2024 and the first quarter of 2025, before all the rates imposed by the new regime.
All this adds to the uncertain close environment for Whirlpool, and its revenue and guidance on cash flows can be endangered. The annual dividend currently uses $ 390 million in cash, and management expects $ 500 million to $ 600 million free cash flow (FCF) in 2025.
However, it has a $ 1.85 billion debt in 2025 and plans to pay $ 700 million from it through refinancing, with the amount ranging from $ 1.1 billion to $ 1.2 billion. These plans can be threatened if the company misses guidance and I think this can happen in the current environment.
Along with Whirlpool, UPS will be a better investment if and when it reduces its dividend. The company has started the year by managing that it will generate $ 5.7 billion in FCF while paying $ 5.5 billion in dividends and expects to make a $ 1 billion redemption of shares.
Then, at the end of April, the impact of tariffs on the economy began to come into force. And the management declined to confirm its year -round guidance on the first quarter profit call, which means that its FCF guidelines were threatened. In addition, there is an added complication of UPS, deliberately reducing its lower margin Amazon Delivery volume by 50% from 2024 to the second half of 2026
The dividend of the company is threatened and even if the management chooses to maintain it, there is a powerful argument to say that it should not. As discussed earlier, the company’s investment in technology and redirecting its network to a higher margin and more productive supplies (such as in the field of health and small and medium-sized business markets) suggest that the return on justice (ROE) will improve.
Data Source: Getty Images.
This would be an important plus. Still, it would be even more a plus if the management could allocate more than its profit to invest in a higher ROE business, instead of using a significant portion of its cash flow and dividend payments. Dividend reduction would help to release money for productive investments that would add value to shareholders.
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John Maki, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, a subsidiary of Amazon, is a member of the Board of Directors of Motley Fool. Lee Samaha has no position in any of the mentioned shares. Motley Fool has positions and recommends the Amazon and United Parcel service. Motley Fool recommends Whirlpool. Motley Fool has a policy of disclosure.
3 Shares with High but Rooted Digges, which are likely to be shortened, originally published by Motley Fool